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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+3.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.64+6.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62+5.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+4.05vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29+4.89vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.78+2.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21-0.47vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.07+2.54vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.76-1.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.11+0.62vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-3.89vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.07-1.46vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.05-2.32vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.97-6.78vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.53-6.18vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.73-7.73vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.00-6.01vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.00-7.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.54Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.54Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.68Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.82Roger Williams University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
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10.99Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.99Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 20.7% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.