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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+1.33vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.89+1.19vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.13+1.49vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.27+0.26vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.02-0.34vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.37-0.22vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.80-1.89vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.09-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Bowdoin College2.430.4%1st Place
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3.19Bowdoin College1.890.2%1st Place
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4.49Bowdoin College1.130.1%1st Place
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4.26Bowdoin College1.270.1%1st Place
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4.66Bowdoin College1.020.1%1st Place
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5.78Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.11Bowdoin College0.800.1%1st Place
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6.18Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 37.5% | 25.7% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kann | 20.3% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Emmett Ulian | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 5.8% |
| Marie Bergsund | 8.5% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 8.7% |
| Amy Macdonald | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 28.2% |
| Eric Hall | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 14.8% |
| Chris Dsida | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 22.3% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.