← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.02+3.64vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.27+2.25vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.43-0.66vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.89-0.85vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College0.80+0.12vs Predicted
-
6Bates College0.09+0.26vs Predicted
-
7Bates College0.37-1.16vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.13-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.64Bowdoin College1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.25Bowdoin College1.270.1%1st Place
-
2.34Bowdoin College2.430.4%1st Place
-
3.15Bowdoin College1.890.2%1st Place
-
5.12Bowdoin College0.800.1%1st Place
-
6.26Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
-
5.84Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
4.39Bowdoin College1.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Bergsund | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 7.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 36.9% | 25.0% | 19.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kann | 20.6% | 22.5% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Eric Hall | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 18.2% | 12.7% |
| Chris Dsida | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 18.1% | 39.8% |
| Amy Macdonald | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 21.7% | 27.2% |
| Emmett Ulian | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.