← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.13+3.14vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.89+1.03vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.43-0.77vs Predicted
-
4Bates College0.09+1.97vs Predicted
-
5Bates College0.37+0.53vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.02-1.60vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.27-2.95vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College-0.47-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.14Bowdoin College1.130.1%1st Place
-
3.03Bowdoin College1.890.2%1st Place
-
2.23Bowdoin College2.430.4%1st Place
-
5.97Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
-
5.53Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
4.4Bowdoin College1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.05Bowdoin College1.270.1%1st Place
-
6.66Bowdoin College-0.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Ulian | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 3.1% |
| Michael Kann | 20.3% | 23.8% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 39.3% | 25.8% | 18.6% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chris Dsida | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 23.2% | 26.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 16.7% |
| Marie Bergsund | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 4.7% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 11.3% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Peter Newstein | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 23.0% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.