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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+1.21vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.89+1.03vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.27+0.97vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.13+0.23vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College-0.47+1.74vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.02-1.61vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.37-1.45vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.09-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Bowdoin College2.430.4%1st Place
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3.03Bowdoin College1.890.2%1st Place
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3.97Bowdoin College1.270.1%1st Place
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4.23Bowdoin College1.130.1%1st Place
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6.74Bowdoin College-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.39Bowdoin College1.020.1%1st Place
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5.55Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.89Bates College0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 39.1% | 26.8% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kann | 20.9% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 12.4% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Emmett Ulian | 9.3% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Peter Newstein | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 49.3% |
| Marie Bergsund | 9.5% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Amy Macdonald | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 24.1% | 16.4% |
| Chris Dsida | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 23.7% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.