← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.49+6.83vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.73+4.89vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.24+5.91vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.17vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.72+2.05vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University2.60+5.26vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.30vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.38+4.47vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.60-1.76vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan1.84+4.21vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.76-0.24vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.77-5.08vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College3.56-5.75vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.90-3.64vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.79-4.46vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College3.19-7.09vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University1.87-2.89vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.69-3.24vs Predicted
-
19University of Connecticut1.13-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.83Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.89Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.91Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.05Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
11.26Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
12.47Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.24Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
14.21University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
-
10.76University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
6.92Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.25Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.36University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.54Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
8.91Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
14.11Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
14.76Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
-
16.07University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 12.8% |
| Brendan Read | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.7% |
| Brian Baker | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 18.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.