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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.17vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+7.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+4.87vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.87+10.22vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+5.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+1.33vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72-0.06vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76+1.57vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.87vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-2.26vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.84+2.60vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-1.85vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.69+0.85vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.77-8.37vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.74vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.79-6.46vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut1.13-1.65vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College3.56-11.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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14.22Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.51University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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14.6University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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14.85Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.26Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.54Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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16.35University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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7.09Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| John Rolander | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Anders Ekholm | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| William Crary | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Mason Wolters | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 15.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Brian Baker | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 18.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 38.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.