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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+9.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+5.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.89vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.84vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+6.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.15vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+5.36vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.50vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.79+1.43vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-2.83vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-4.34vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.87+2.52vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.73-6.41vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.84+0.36vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-4.97vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.19-7.11vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.56-9.55vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.69-3.33vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.13-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.81University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.89Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.36Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.43Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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14.52Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.59Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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14.36University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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14.67Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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16.09University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| John Rolander | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 15.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 14.1% |
| William Crary | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brian Baker | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 18.2% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 38.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.