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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+5.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+5.85vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+8.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.19vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+2.55vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79+4.51vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+0.62vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38+4.47vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.37vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-3.33vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-1.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.49vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.77-6.49vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.69+0.89vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.87-1.00vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.90-5.92vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.84-2.78vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.76-7.30vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.13-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.51Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.62Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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12.47Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.63Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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14.89Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.0Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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14.22University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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16.09University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| William Crary | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 14.4% |
| Brendan Read | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.