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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+9.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+7.09vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+4.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+3.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+1.96vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+2.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.28vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+1.01vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-3.49vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-0.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.62vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-1.77vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.72-7.01vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.84-0.85vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.79vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.87-2.84vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.69-3.17vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.13-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.82University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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9.09Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.69Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.72Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.66Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.23Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.99Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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14.15University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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12.21Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.16Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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14.83Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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16.12University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| John Rolander | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 16.4% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 15.1% |
| Brian Baker | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| Jennifer Lee | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.