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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.90+9.17vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+3.89vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+3.56vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+2.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+2.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.23vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+0.99vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.72-2.24vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38+2.23vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60+0.39vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.76-0.92vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.84+1.07vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.87+0.35vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.49-7.32vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut1.13+0.34vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.77-10.34vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.69-3.25vs Predicted
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19Brown University2.79-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.17University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.76Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.23Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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14.35Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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16.34University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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14.75Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.27Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Read | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 13.2% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| John Rolander | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 42.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brian Baker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.