← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.88+3.20vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.21+4.32vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.64+5.51vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.02+3.27vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62+3.62vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.07+4.63vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.00+4.02vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.11+2.44vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.29+0.80vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.07+0.63vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.76-2.90vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.97-4.69vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont2.78-4.96vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.73-5.84vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-7.31vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University2.53-6.97vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University2.05-6.15vs Predicted
-
18Brown University2.00-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.2Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
-
6.32Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.51University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
-
7.27University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.1%1st Place
-
10.63Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
-
11.02Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
-
10.44Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.8Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
10.63Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.1Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.31Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.04University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
-
8.16University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.03Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
-
10.85Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.02Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 19.1% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.