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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+6.78vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+6.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+6.67vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.19+4.27vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+0.68vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73-0.17vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-0.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.98vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-2.69vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.84vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-0.25vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-2.43vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.87+0.29vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-4.92vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.78vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.84-2.80vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.69-3.23vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut1.13-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.67Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.27Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.75Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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14.29Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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12.22Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.2University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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14.77Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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16.1University of Connecticut1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Read | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 15.0% |
| William Crary | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 16.1% |
| Brian Baker | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 18.5% |
| Jennifer Lee | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.