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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+6.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+4.56vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.25vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+1.91vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+2.55vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73-0.55vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.87+5.14vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.84+4.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76+0.33vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.10vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-4.61vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-3.50vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.69-0.53vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.79-5.01vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.72-9.39vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.38-5.27vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.48-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.55Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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13.14Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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13.47Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.99Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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6.61Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.73Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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17.3University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 4.2% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 4.5% |
| Brendan Read | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Brian Baker | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 17.6% | 23.7% | 5.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 82.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.