← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.73+5.66vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.60+5.17vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.49+4.52vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University3.77+2.28vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.90+4.46vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College3.56+1.14vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.79+3.07vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.19+0.40vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.38+2.57vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.98vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.72-4.32vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.76-1.52vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.24-4.85vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University1.87-1.07vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.69-1.26vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan1.84-2.58vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-9.99vs Predicted
-
18University of Connecticut-0.48-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.66Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.17Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.52Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.28Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
9.46University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.14Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.07Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
-
8.4Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
11.57Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.68Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.48University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
8.15Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
12.93Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
13.74Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
-
13.42University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
-
7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
17.29University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 4.6% |
| Brian Baker | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 27.9% | 4.9% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.7% | 82.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.