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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+6.60vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+4.68vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+3.53vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.38vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+2.10vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+2.30vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.69+6.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.26vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38+2.55vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.84+2.39vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.90-2.06vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-6.13vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-4.10vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.14vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.87-2.71vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.79-6.84vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.48-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.1Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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13.69Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.55Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.39University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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13.29Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.16Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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17.28University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brian Baker | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 26.9% | 5.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 1.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 5.6% |
| William Crary | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 20.7% | 4.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.