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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.19+7.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+3.51vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.38vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+4.55vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+2.37vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.600.00vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72-1.50vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.15vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-2.63vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.87+2.34vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-4.32vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.38-1.61vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.84-0.92vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.76-4.85vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.79-5.90vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.48+0.40vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.69-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.71Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.5Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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13.34Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.39Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.1Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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17.4University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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13.64Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Williford | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.1% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 4.8% |
| John Rolander | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 1.2% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 4.3% |
| Brendan Read | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Sam Alexander | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 7.3% | 83.0% |
| Brian Baker | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 18.6% | 24.7% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.