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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+5.61vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+5.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+4.89vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+3.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19+0.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.26vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.84+3.48vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-4.31vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-0.21vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.56-6.01vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-4.61vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.87-1.80vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.60-8.96vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.69-3.15vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.48-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.41Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.89Brown University2.790.0%1st Place
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6.35Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.48University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.79Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.99Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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13.2Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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13.85Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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17.27University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 5.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 3.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 27.9% | 5.6% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 81.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.