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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.42+8.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+3.66vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+2.53vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+5.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+0.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.01vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.39+3.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.13-2.24vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.87-2.15vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.37-0.71vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.18-5.51vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.22+0.99vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-5.48vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.19-4.46vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.60-7.08vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.68-1.77vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-1.14-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.75Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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6.66Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.76Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.05Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.76Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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11.29Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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14.99Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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9.92Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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16.23University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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18.41University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wehner | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 21.8% | 25.8% | 5.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 16.3% | 40.2% | 12.7% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 10.3% | 80.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.