← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.13+6.94vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.99vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.87+6.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.70+5.69vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.49+5.70vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.42+0.73vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.60+3.10vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.48-1.28vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College3.18-1.49vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.47-3.58vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.38-4.15vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.42-0.89vs Predicted
-
13Cornell University2.37-2.29vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.39-3.05vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.45vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.19-4.41vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University1.22-2.22vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan0.68-1.78vs Predicted
-
19University of Connecticut-1.14-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.94Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.02Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
-
9.69University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
10.7Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.73Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
10.1Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
-
6.72Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.51Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.42Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
6.85Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.11Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
-
10.71Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
-
10.95Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.59University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
-
14.78Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
-
16.22University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
-
18.42University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Kennedy | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| John Wehner | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Mack Fox | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 0.1% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 20.9% | 27.0% | 4.7% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 17.5% | 39.2% | 12.8% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 10.2% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.