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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+5.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.63vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+3.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.67vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+3.10vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+0.94vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.87+1.99vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.82vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.42+1.56vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70-0.44vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.37-0.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.39-0.82vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.60-3.18vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.49-3.37vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-7.34vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.19-4.47vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.22-2.21vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.68-1.75vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-1.14-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.1Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.56Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.94Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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11.18Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.82Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.66Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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14.79Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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16.25University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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18.43University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 8.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| John Wehner | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| James Kennedy | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 0.3% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 21.1% | 26.6% | 4.6% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 17.9% | 38.7% | 12.6% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 10.4% | 80.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.