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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+5.58vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.70+7.68vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+3.63vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.84vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.18+2.87vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+0.70vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.42+3.80vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.48vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.87-1.18vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.39-0.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.80vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.19-1.51vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.49-3.37vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.37-4.17vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.22-1.19vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.60-7.05vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.68-1.76vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut-1.14-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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6.63Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.84Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.87Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.8Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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7.16Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.83Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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14.81Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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16.24University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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18.43University of Connecticut-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wehner | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| James Kennedy | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Bayard Lalor | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 23.5% | 25.5% | 3.6% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 16.4% | 38.7% | 13.7% |
| Daniel Ghajar | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 4.4% | 10.2% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.