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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.19+10.17vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+7.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+4.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+2.11vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+1.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+1.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.15vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.49+1.76vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.60+0.38vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.87-1.32vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.37-0.49vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-5.18vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-4.07vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.68+1.02vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.22-0.99vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.70-6.88vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.42-10.54vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-2.28-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.17University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.38Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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10.51Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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15.02University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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14.01Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.12Brown University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.46Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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17.79University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Penwell | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 45.3% | 4.9% |
| Bayard Lalor | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 26.2% | 27.4% | 1.3% |
| Quinn Andersen | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Zizza | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 4.2% | 92.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.