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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+8.11vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.75vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48+2.12vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+3.85vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+1.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70+0.99vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.87-0.66vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.37+0.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.13-3.43vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-5.32vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.60-3.68vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.70-5.19vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.19-4.03vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.68-0.78vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.22-2.91vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-2.28-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.12Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.29Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.19Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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10.56Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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7.57Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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15.22University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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14.09Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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17.78University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Andersen | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 50.0% | 4.7% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 23.9% | 28.2% | 2.2% |
| Charles Zizza | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 92.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.