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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.47+5.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+5.71vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+3.25vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+3.19vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.60+4.35vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.70+3.16vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.37+3.35vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.87+0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-2.75vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.70-0.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.28vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-2.74vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.19-2.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.22-0.22vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.49-5.13vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-2.28+1.83vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.68-1.76vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-10.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.71Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.19Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.35Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.35Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.32Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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13.78Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.87Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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17.83University of Connecticut-2.280.0%1st Place
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15.24University of Michigan0.680.0%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Barbano | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 8.6% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 0.1% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 22.7% | 26.8% | 1.2% |
| James Kennedy | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Zizza | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 93.5% |
| Will Neubauer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 49.7% | 5.1% |
| Mack Fox | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.