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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+3.20vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+4.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+4.29vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.11+6.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.64+3.58vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.78+2.02vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.07+3.75vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.53+0.80vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.76-1.05vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-1.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-4.85vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.29-3.16vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.00-3.22vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.07-4.25vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.73-7.72vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.05-6.20vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.00-7.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
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6.33Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.7Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
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10.75Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.8Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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9.84Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.78Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.75Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
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10.8Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.78Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 19.3% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.