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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.65+6.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+7.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.10+7.10vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+1.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.68+6.51vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+2.17vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+3.44vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.13+5.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.45-0.60vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92+0.88vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.81+0.26vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.33-2.71vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.54-5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.08-0.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.02vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.78-8.85vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.38-8.16vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.58Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.1Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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5.62St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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8.4Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.88Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.26Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College3.330.0%1st Place
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7.89Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.15College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margaret Tautz | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sara Burke | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 10.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 25.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Katrina Williams | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Baker | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 27.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Shannon Heausler | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.