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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+4.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.03+4.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+5.29vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.87+3.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.19+4.70vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.30+2.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-1.53vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.03-2.60vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.14-0.15vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.00-0.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88-0.46vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.59-4.57vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.00-3.35vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-5.51vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.40-3.67vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.62-1.51vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.79-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Brown University2.2812.2%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.037.9%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.626.6%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University1.877.5%1st Place
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9.7Yale University1.194.5%1st Place
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6.54Boston College2.098.8%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island1.304.6%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University2.0911.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University2.039.8%1st Place
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9.85Dartmouth College1.144.2%1st Place
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10.99Connecticut College1.003.2%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.883.0%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University1.595.7%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University1.002.9%1st Place
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9.49Bowdoin College1.514.7%1st Place
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12.33Boston University0.402.1%1st Place
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15.49University of Vermont-0.620.5%1st Place
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15.86Salve Regina University-0.790.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Stapleton | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Posner | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elle Sykes | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carly Kieding | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Turner Ryon | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| William Hurd | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Gus Macaulay | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Peter Stewart | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 6.8% |
| Ryan Begin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 24.8% | 35.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 21.6% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.