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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.76+6.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+4.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62+5.58vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.11+6.71vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.53+4.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.64+2.60vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+0.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.07+2.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-1.22vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.29+0.02vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.73-2.77vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.00-1.09vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.78-5.06vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.00-3.09vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.05-4.37vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.88-11.68vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.07-6.48vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.02-10.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.34Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.1%1st Place
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10.71Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.52Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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10.02Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
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10.91Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
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10.91Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.63Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
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4.32Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
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10.52Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Max Bulger | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 19.4% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.