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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.34+6.77vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+4.09vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.27+8.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+5.52vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.98+4.11vs Predicted
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62.44+1.59vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67-0.33vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.41vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-3.48vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.54-2.72vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-3.82vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-7.25vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-2.25vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.50-6.71vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.64-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.09Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.52Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.592.440.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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10.75Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.73Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Gehling | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 17.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| Mary Paz | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.7% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.3% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 14.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.