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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+4.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+3.67vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+2.20vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+4.51vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-0.43vs Predicted
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72.44+0.51vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98+1.10vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50-1.71vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.27+1.33vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-3.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.52-1.17vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.64-0.11vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-9.48vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.2Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.57Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.512.440.1%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.96Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.89Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 12.6% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 48.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.