← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.67+5.61vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.84+3.99vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.34+4.80vs Predicted
-
42.44+3.51vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.58+2.11vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.86+3.51vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.44vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.50-0.66vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.98+0.01vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.27+1.36vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.02-5.37vs Predicted
-
12Fairfield University0.64+1.03vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.37-8.17vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.52-3.45vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.54-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.61Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
5.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
7.8Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.512.440.1%1st Place
-
7.11University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.51Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
7.34Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.01Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
-
11.36Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
-
5.63Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
-
13.03Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
-
4.83University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.55Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.16Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Mary Paz | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 19.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 48.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.9% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 13.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.