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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+5.99vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+5.67vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+3.12vs Predicted
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42.44+3.49vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+2.38vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.54+1.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+2.42vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67-1.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-4.52vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-4.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.33vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.27-0.47vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-3.67vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.52-3.43vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.64-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.12Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.492.440.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.75Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.53Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.33Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.57Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.68Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Mary Paz | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 21.7% | 19.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 13.1% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.