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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+3.71vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.20+3.37vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.58+1.04vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.70+2.24vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.58+2.03vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.09+3.91vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.73-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.19-2.50vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.27+0.60vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.41-3.20vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.21-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.07-3.30vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.01-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of South Florida1.0914.6%1st Place
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5.37Jacksonville University1.2011.9%1st Place
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4.04Jacksonville University1.5818.3%1st Place
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6.24Jacksonville University0.708.8%1st Place
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7.03Rollins College0.586.5%1st Place
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9.91Rollins College0.091.8%1st Place
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6.29Florida Institute of Technology0.737.7%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida1.1910.4%1st Place
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9.6Embry-Riddle University-0.272.3%1st Place
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6.8Rollins College0.416.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Miami0.214.4%1st Place
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8.7University of Miami-0.073.8%1st Place
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8.82University of South Florida0.013.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Cole Schweda | 18.3% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Jackson McGeough | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 29.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mason Howell | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 21.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| David Webb | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Oliver West | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 13.9% |
| Blake March | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.