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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+5.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+2.49vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+5.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.02+0.65vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+0.72vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+0.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-0.90vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86+0.46vs Predicted
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102.44-2.38vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-3.69vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.52-1.21vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-4.92vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.27-2.74vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.64-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.49University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.65Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.72Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.622.440.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.79Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.08Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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12.76Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.3% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 5.0% |
| Mary Paz | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 13.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| Lillian Vincens | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.