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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+5.17vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.27+9.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+3.69vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+5.47vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.70vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34+1.92vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+0.15vs Predicted
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82.44-0.44vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-3.51vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-5.37vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.98-1.87vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-4.46vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-2.27vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-6.99vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.64-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.12Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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6.69Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.562.440.1%1st Place
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5.49Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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12.69Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Mary Paz | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Hibben | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 13.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Lillian Vincens | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.