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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.86+8.30vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.43vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+3.19vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.34+3.81vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+2.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-0.39vs Predicted
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72.44+0.49vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67-1.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-4.47vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.27+1.35vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University0.64+1.78vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.54-4.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-3.63vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.52-3.51vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-7.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.81Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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7.492.440.1%1st Place
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6.75Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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11.35Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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12.78Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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9.37Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Paz | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 20.3% | 19.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 15.7% | 47.6% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 11.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.