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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+5.65vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.44vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+6.42vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+3.05vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+2.28vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-1.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50+0.27vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34-0.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-2.89vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98-0.83vs Predicted
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112.44-3.45vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.52-1.16vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.02-7.17vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.64-1.25vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.27-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.552.440.1%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.83Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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12.75Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.22Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 5.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.6% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Mary Paz | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 14.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 44.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.