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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.38+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.97+5.94vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.30+3.95vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.27+6.23vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.61+4.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.58+0.16vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-1.18vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.47-2.54vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-5.21vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-4.23vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.37vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.95-1.75vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-5.25vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.55-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.94University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.95Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.23Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.16Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.46Connecticut College2.470.1%1st Place
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4.79Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.77Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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14.6Fairfield University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 21.5% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Spence | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 3.1% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 1.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Erin Jacob | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 32.5% | 4.7% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 0.5% |
| Allison Krauss | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 87.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.