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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.97+6.90vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+4.66vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.38-0.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.30+2.11vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06-1.33vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.61+2.19vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+0.70vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58-2.91vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.27+0.31vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-4.25vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.76-2.98vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.47-6.30vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.95-2.91vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.55-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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3.9Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.11Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.67Dartmouth College3.060.2%1st Place
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9.19Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.7Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.31Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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6.75Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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6.7Connecticut College2.470.1%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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14.59Fairfield University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Spence | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 20.5% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Giblin | 15.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 1.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 0.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 2.6% |
| Camille Matile | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 0.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Erin Jacob | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 29.7% | 4.4% |
| Allison Krauss | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 88.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.