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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.97+6.97vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+2.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.95+8.03vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.58+2.15vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.47+1.57vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-2.15vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30+0.01vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-2.28vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.76-1.17vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.61-1.76vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-3.05vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-6.09vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.27-3.83vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.55-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
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4.62Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.03Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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6.15Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.57Connecticut College2.470.1%1st Place
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3.85Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.01Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.24Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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8.95Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.91Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.17Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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14.59Fairfield University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Spence | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 14.2% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erin Jacob | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 29.5% | 4.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 19.7% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 1.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 0.5% |
| Camille Matile | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 2.0% |
| Allison Krauss | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 5.7% | 87.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.