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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.73+7.55vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+5.07vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+5.41vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.58+1.95vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06-0.39vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.41+0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.97+0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-1.33vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.61+0.02vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.30-3.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-7.13vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.27-1.67vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.99-1.96vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-5.43vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.55-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.95Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.61Dartmouth College3.060.2%1st Place
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6.49Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.02Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.94Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.87Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.33Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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11.04Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.57Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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14.6Fairfield University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Quirke | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 1.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 16.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camille Matile | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Annie Spence | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 21.7% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 1.8% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 30.6% | 3.5% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 0.8% |
| Allison Krauss | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 4.7% | 88.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.