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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+3.18vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.73+6.11vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.29+6.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+2.53vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.11+5.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.64+2.58vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02-1.08vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.76-1.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-2.33vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.07-1.39vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.00-2.17vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.07-3.39vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.78-7.17vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.53-6.95vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.00-6.17vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.05-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
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8.11University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.54Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island2.640.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.1%1st Place
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10.61Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.83Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.61Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
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9.05Roger Williams University2.530.1%1st Place
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10.83Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.84Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 19.5% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 7.5% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.