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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.58+3.16vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.20+3.40vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.58+4.05vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09+0.79vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+1.29vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.70+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.07+1.78vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.19-2.58vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.09+0.93vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.41-3.38vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.27-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.21-3.85vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.01-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Jacksonville University1.5818.9%1st Place
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5.4Jacksonville University1.2011.4%1st Place
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7.05Rollins College0.586.2%1st Place
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4.79University of South Florida1.0914.1%1st Place
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6.29Florida Institute of Technology0.737.4%1st Place
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6.08Jacksonville University0.708.9%1st Place
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8.78University of Miami-0.073.8%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida1.1911.1%1st Place
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9.93Rollins College0.091.8%1st Place
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6.62Rollins College0.416.8%1st Place
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9.5Embry-Riddle University-0.272.5%1st Place
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8.15University of Miami0.213.8%1st Place
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8.82University of South Florida0.013.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 18.9% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brent Penwarden | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Oliver West | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 29.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Mason Howell | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 21.3% |
| David Webb | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Blake March | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.