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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.41+5.38vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.73+6.51vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+2.78vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06-0.35vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.27+4.21vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.76+1.54vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.61+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.97-1.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.58-3.97vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.99-0.09vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-5.07vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.52vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-1.55+0.62vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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3.66Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.78Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.65Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.54Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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6.03Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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14.62Fairfield University-1.550.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Matile | 9.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.8% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 14.3% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 2.7% |
| Julia Leighton | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 0.6% |
| Catherine Kerner | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 0.8% |
| Annie Spence | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 28.7% | 4.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Allison Krauss | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 88.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.