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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.97+6.79vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+4.47vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.10vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+4.50vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.58+1.07vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06-1.44vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-3.26vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.99+2.89vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.61+0.05vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.41-3.42vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.30-4.10vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.27-1.66vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.76-4.20vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.73-5.35vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.55-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79University of Vermont1.970.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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8.5Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.07Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.56Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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3.74Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.58Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.34Bowdoin College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.65Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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14.57Fairfield University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Spence | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 1.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 14.9% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.0% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 25.8% | 5.4% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 1.4% |
| Camille Matile | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Gonzalez | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 1.7% |
| Julia Leighton | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 0.8% |
| Allison Krauss | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 87.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.