← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+1.66vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University1.09+5.05vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.40vs Predicted
-
4Washington College1.63+1.82vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+1.23vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook2.59-2.24vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-0.39+3.12vs Predicted
-
8Villanova University1.53-1.96vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania1.06-1.75vs Predicted
-
10Ocean County College0.25-1.02vs Predicted
-
11Drexel University0.72-3.18vs Predicted
-
12Monmouth University-0.72-1.04vs Predicted
-
13Rutgers University-1.25-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66U. S. Naval Academy3.300.3%1st Place
-
7.05Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
-
2.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
-
5.82Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
6.23Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
3.76SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
-
10.12University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
-
6.04Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
-
7.25University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.98Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
-
7.82Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
10.96Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.71Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 28.9% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 30.8% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 15.5% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Shone | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 25.4% | 13.2% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Egan | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 11.4% | 5.8% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 29.3% | 26.9% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 12.0% | 20.4% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.