Race 2A

central-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lomax 31.8% 24.5% 20.3% 12.3% 5.5% 4.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Loftus 30.0% 25.9% 18.3% 13.1% 7.2% 3.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 12.3% 17.7% 18.0% 14.7% 15.3% 11.0% 6.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Julian Fraize 3.7% 5.7% 6.6% 9.7% 13.4% 11.6% 13.5% 12.0% 10.7% 7.0% 5.2% 0.5% 0.4%
Trevor Koerwer 5.0% 5.4% 9.8% 12.1% 10.0% 13.9% 11.4% 12.0% 10.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Alexander Smith 5.6% 6.9% 9.2% 11.2% 14.0% 14.5% 12.4% 9.9% 8.0% 5.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Joseph Egan 4.3% 3.7% 4.5% 7.5% 9.8% 9.9% 12.2% 13.4% 12.9% 11.6% 7.2% 2.4% 0.6%
Frederick Piasecki 2.1% 3.4% 3.8% 4.8% 6.3% 8.3% 10.8% 13.5% 14.1% 13.6% 12.6% 5.5% 1.2%
Robert Whitaker 2.8% 3.8% 5.2% 6.5% 8.1% 11.9% 13.8% 13.6% 11.4% 12.0% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7%
Evan Shone 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.4% 7.9% 12.5% 19.2% 25.6% 15.4%
Mitchell Nunn 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 4.6% 5.1% 5.1% 7.6% 10.2% 14.0% 17.6% 16.2% 11.1% 4.2%
Amanda Nuse 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 4.6% 5.9% 8.3% 15.8% 28.4% 27.4%
Taylor Niles 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 2.7% 3.2% 5.1% 11.2% 22.4% 49.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.