Race 3A

central-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

92.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lomax 28.2% 21.0% 20.9% 13.1% 9.5% 4.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Loftus 25.9% 22.4% 18.6% 15.3% 8.8% 5.3% 2.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 10.1% 15.3% 15.1% 14.7% 14.3% 14.4% 8.8% 4.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Drew Gallagher 15.4% 16.0% 17.7% 18.5% 12.0% 11.7% 4.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Whitaker 3.0% 3.6% 3.5% 6.6% 8.4% 10.4% 11.2% 15.2% 15.4% 11.5% 7.7% 3.2% 0.3%
Julian Fraize 3.4% 4.7% 5.5% 7.7% 10.4% 12.6% 14.7% 13.7% 11.5% 9.2% 5.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Trevor Koerwer 5.2% 5.3% 6.3% 8.3% 11.2% 11.7% 16.0% 13.4% 10.3% 6.9% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Alexander Smith 4.7% 6.0% 6.5% 7.7% 11.6% 13.5% 15.7% 15.3% 9.1% 6.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Frederick Piasecki 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 4.0% 5.8% 6.2% 8.1% 14.0% 17.1% 17.6% 12.7% 6.1% 1.6%
Mitchell Nunn 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.8% 4.9% 7.5% 8.1% 13.8% 18.7% 18.7% 11.8% 5.8%
Evan Shone 0.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.6% 2.1% 2.7% 4.3% 6.1% 9.7% 12.8% 21.6% 24.6% 13.4%
Amanda Nuse 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 3.1% 3.4% 5.9% 9.8% 16.1% 29.2% 27.4%
Taylor Niles 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 1.9% 1.8% 3.7% 6.1% 10.4% 22.2% 51.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.