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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.83vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.30-0.02vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.72+4.27vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.53+1.42vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.09+1.38vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.63-0.88vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-1.29vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.25+0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-0.39+0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.87-7.35vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.25-0.25vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.72-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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4.21SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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2.98U. S. Naval Academy3.300.2%1st Place
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8.27Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.42Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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7.38Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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6.12Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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6.71Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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9.23Ocean County College0.250.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Delaware-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.65University of Pennsylvania2.870.2%1st Place
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11.75Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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11.05Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 27.2% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 24.7% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Nunn | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 13.3% | 4.7% |
| Evan Shone | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 21.7% | 24.2% | 15.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 15.8% | 18.6% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 22.4% | 50.6% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 28.2% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.