Race 6A

central-fall-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Lomax 26.9% 23.2% 18.4% 14.1% 9.2% 4.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drew Gallagher 16.2% 16.9% 17.4% 18.3% 13.3% 7.9% 5.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 10.6% 13.7% 16.2% 16.1% 15.4% 11.1% 10.2% 3.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Mitchell Nunn 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 2.0% 4.1% 5.2% 6.9% 9.5% 12.6% 17.7% 20.4% 13.5% 4.3%
Julian Fraize 3.8% 4.8% 6.0% 7.5% 10.3% 13.1% 12.2% 14.6% 13.3% 8.4% 4.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Parker Loftus 25.9% 24.3% 17.2% 13.9% 9.3% 6.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Smith 5.7% 5.5% 7.5% 9.6% 10.2% 13.2% 15.1% 13.7% 10.1% 6.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Amanda Nuse 0.7% 0.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.8% 4.1% 3.7% 4.8% 10.4% 18.1% 28.6% 24.5%
Robert Whitaker 2.7% 3.1% 4.9% 4.8% 6.5% 10.2% 12.9% 14.7% 14.8% 12.2% 9.1% 3.0% 1.1%
Evan Shone 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 2.5% 3.4% 3.0% 4.7% 7.4% 15.0% 19.8% 23.4% 17.1%
Frederick Piasecki 1.7% 1.5% 2.8% 4.5% 6.7% 7.9% 10.1% 13.7% 17.5% 13.7% 12.4% 6.1% 1.4%
Trevor Koerwer 3.7% 4.3% 6.6% 6.4% 10.8% 14.4% 13.9% 14.8% 12.3% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Taylor Niles 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.3% 1.9% 1.9% 3.0% 7.4% 9.4% 22.4% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.