← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.78+6.95vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.02+5.13vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.11+7.64vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University2.29+6.12vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.88-0.65vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.60+2.85vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.73+1.43vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.00+2.94vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.76-0.90vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.97-2.54vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.64-2.34vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.21-5.40vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.60-4.15vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62-5.28vs Predicted
-
15Brown University2.00-4.06vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-8.13vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.53-7.79vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University2.05-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.95University of Vermont2.780.1%1st Place
-
7.13University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
10.64Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.12Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
-
4.35Boston College3.880.2%1st Place
-
8.85Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.43University of Vermont2.730.1%1st Place
-
10.94Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
-
8.1Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.46Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.66University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.6Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.85Brown University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
-
10.94Brown University2.000.0%1st Place
-
7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.21Roger Williams University2.530.0%1st Place
-
10.97Salve Regina University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Vavolotis | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 18.2% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mcisaac | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Lord | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Straus | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Paige | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Byrne | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.