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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.58+3.39vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+3.13vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+2.73vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.68vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.20+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.26-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.21+1.34vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.58-0.70vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.27+0.79vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.70-3.62vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.09-0.95vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.07-2.97vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.41-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Jacksonville University1.5817.4%1st Place
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5.13University of South Florida1.0912.3%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida1.199.7%1st Place
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6.68Florida Institute of Technology0.736.7%1st Place
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5.72Jacksonville University1.2010.2%1st Place
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5.38University of South Florida1.2610.7%1st Place
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8.34University of Miami0.213.9%1st Place
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7.3Rollins College0.585.9%1st Place
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9.79Embry-Riddle University-0.272.5%1st Place
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6.38Jacksonville University0.708.9%1st Place
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10.05Rollins College0.092.4%1st Place
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9.03University of Miami-0.072.9%1st Place
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7.07Rollins College0.416.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 17.4% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Efe Guder | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| David Webb | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Mason Howell | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 26.7% |
| Fiona Froelich | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 30.4% |
| Oliver West | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.2% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.